Furthermore, the total number of apprehensions tells us
very little about the aliens who aren't caught. Some people
assume that, if 800,000 are being detected, an even larger
number must be getting through... while others argue
that—since so many aliens are being
apprehended—the Border Patrol must be stopping most
of those who try to enter the country.
Finally, of course, the number of apprehensions tells us
nothing about the reverse flow. After all, if
800,000 Mexicans were entering the country illegally each
year at the same time that 900,000 were returning home,
then the total number of non-citizens would be declining.
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The most careful study—at least at this time—of
the number of illegal residents in the United States
compares various groups of government census and labor
statistics, some of which would be expected to include most
illegals and some to exclude them. The resulting estimate
is of an unregistered alien population of about four
million... which is one-half to one-third of the
numbers most frequently heard previously . At the
moment, this seems to be about the best available figure,
but it doesn't amount to much more than an informed guess.
TEMPORARY EMPLOYMENT
Another factor that's not often considered is the
possibility that illegals are here only temporarily,
expecting to make some money and then return to their
homeland. However, studies that have been done in
Mexico—and interviews with Mexicans who are in the
U.S. illegally—indicate that the vast majority will
return home after a period in the U.S.... perhaps to cross
back again later, when the accumulated money has been used
up. Furthermore, these studies and interviews generally
reveal that most Mexican illegals living here would
prefer to stay in Mexico if they could make
anything resembling a decent wage there.
Propaganda to the contrary, it's also apparent that the
Mexican illegals are an economic plus for the United
States. The schizophrenic claims of bigots (on one hand,
illegals are said to work so hard that they displace native
labor, and—on the other—are referred to as
welfare bums) are utterly unsupported. There're many
reasons to believe that very few American citizens are
unemployed because Mexican laborers have taken jobs that
otherwise would be open. It's also clear that illegals pay
(through taxes, social security deductions, and workman's
compensation payments) for a wide variety of services of
which they only rarely take advantage.
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